3/31/2017

Compare three different predictions

Today, I compared three different prediction methods, one peak prediction, two peaks prediction and 32 bins prediction. I found that the best is 32 bins prediction.

Summary:

The following is the one peak prediction random result

The second is the two peaks random result

The third is the 32 bins random result (there are 64 bins in total, for every two, I get the mean value of them and decrease the number of outputs from 64 to 32. I predict 32 outputs at the same time.)
 In comparison, the 32 bins result is the best especially for the first hundreds of depths. The following is the first 20 depths and they show good fitting performance.

The following is the R2 distribution of 32 bins prediction
 It shows a better concentration of high R2 than before.

Next week, I will try to combine the 32 bins prediction with the 6 parameter prediction. Maybe the combination of them will get better results.

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